{"id":354,"date":"2011-11-30T23:01:27","date_gmt":"2011-11-30T22:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/2011\/11\/30\/pkb-w-iii-kw\/"},"modified":"2011-11-30T23:01:27","modified_gmt":"2011-11-30T22:01:27","slug":"pkb-w-iii-kw","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/2011\/11\/30\/pkb-w-iii-kw\/","title":{"rendered":"PKB w III kw."},"content":{"rendered":"

W III kw rozwijali\u015bmy si\u0119 w tempie 4,2% yoy. \u0141adny wynik w obecnych czasach. Takie tempo utrzymujemy ju\u017c od ponad roku. Warto doceni\u0107 wzgl\u0119dn\u0105 stabilizacj\u0119 tempa jak i obecn\u0105 struktur\u0119 wzrostu. Nie jest to bez znaczenia. Wzgl\u0119dna stabilizacja podnosi zaufanie do gospodarki i wiar\u0119 \u017ce warto kontynuowa\u0107, a nawet zwi\u0119ksza\u0107 nak\u0142ady inwestycyjne. Nie inaczej dzieje si\u0119 teraz. Gdyby nie stabilizacja od kilku kwarta\u0142\u00f3w, s\u0105dz\u0119 \u017ce mogliby\u015bmy nie ogl\u0105da\u0107 wzrostu nak\u0142ad\u00f3w inwestycyjnych. W kwarta\u0142u na kwarta\u0142 tempo nak\u0142ad\u00f3w przy\u015bpiesza. Przypomn\u0119 \u017ce w 2010 r. nak\u0142ady inwestycyjny utrzyma\u0142y si\u0119 niemal na poziomie z roku 2009 r. w tym roku by\u0142o ju\u017c zdecydowanie lepiej. W uj\u0119ciu yoy w I kw 5,9%, w II kw 6,9% i w III kw 8,5%. Przyrost nak\u0142ad\u00f3w inwestycyjnych zape\u0142ni\u0142 luk\u0119 po lekko s\u0142abn\u0105cym spo\u017cyciu og\u00f3\u0142em. Do przekroczenia 4% PKB niespodziewanie (je\u017celi spojrze\u0107 na prognozy sprzed kilku kwarta\u0142\u00f3w) przyczyni\u0142 si\u0119 os\u0142abiony z\u0142oty. Bior\u0105c pod uwag\u0119 obecny poziom z\u0142otego i atmosfer\u0119 na europejskim rynku, to osi\u0105gni\u0119cie poziomu r\u00f3wnowagi z\u0142otego potrwa kilka miesi\u0119cy. M\u00f3wi\u0119 o procesie wzmocnienia z\u0142otego, czyli zej\u015bcie poni\u017cej 4,0 z\u0142 za euro. To teoretyczny wariant pozytywny dla z\u0142otego. Zmierzam do tego \u017ce jeszcze w IV kw 2011 i I kw 2012 r. z\u0142oty powinien nam pom\u00f3c i, \u00a0<\/span>przynajmniej w niewielkim stopniu, przyczyni\u0107 si\u0119 do wzrostu PKB. To, razem z nak\u0142adami inwestycyjnymi, powinno w znacznym stopniu uzupe\u0142ni\u0107 efekt os\u0142abienia popytu indywidualnego w kolejnych kwarta\u0142ach.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>PKB\u00a0 <\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>p.kraj.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>sp.indyw.\u00a0\u00a0 nak.brutto na \u015br.trwa\u0142e<\/font><\/p>\n

I\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,3 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>7,6 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>17,1 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

II\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,1 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,7 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>15,2 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

III\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>5,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>5,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>5,6 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>5,6 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

IV 08\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,4 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>5,4 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,1 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

I\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>0,4 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>-1,8 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>-1,4 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

II\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>1,0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>-2,6 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>1,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>-3,7 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

III\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>1,6 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>-1,3 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>2,3 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>-1,9 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

IV 09\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>1,1 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>1,7 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>0,8 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

I\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>2,4 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>2,3 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>-10,2 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

II\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,5 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,5 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>0,5 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

III\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,4 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>5,1 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,4 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>2,3 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

IV 10\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,7 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,3 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>2,2 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

I\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,5 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,4 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,7 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>5,9 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

II\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,3 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,3 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,6 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>6,9 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

III\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>4,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>3,0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>8,5 <\/font><\/p>\n

\n

IV 11\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

\n

\u017ar\u00f3d\u0142o danych: GUS<\/em><\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Czytaj dalej →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[20],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opinieekonomiczne.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}